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Business & Tax
Earnings multiples, asset value and discounted cash flow, what each one is for, and why they rarely agree.
By FreeCalculators Editorial · Published 2026-09-01 · Updated 2026-09-04 · 4 min read · 962 words
A business is worth what a buyer will pay, and the three standard methods are attempts to predict that figure from different evidence. Earnings multiples price the profit stream, asset valuation prices what you could sell the parts for, and discounted cash flow prices the future cash the business will produce. They rarely agree, and the spread between them is itself informative.
This is how most small businesses actually change hands. Normalise annual earnings, then apply a multiple observed from comparable transactions in the same sector and size band. For owner-operated businesses the earnings figure is usually seller's discretionary earnings, which adds back the owner's salary and personal expenses, because a buyer will make their own decisions about those.
The multiple carries all the judgement. Sector, growth rate, customer concentration, recurring versus one-off revenue, and whether the business runs without the owner all move it, and the last of those moves it most.
| Method | What it prices | Best used when |
|---|---|---|
| Earnings multiple | Normalised annual profit x sector multiple | Profitable, stable, owner-operated businesses |
| Asset-based | Market value of assets less liabilities | Asset-heavy or loss-making businesses |
| Discounted cash flow | Present value of projected future cash | Predictable cash flows over several years |
| All three together | A range rather than a point | Any real negotiation |
Asset-based valuation totals what the assets would fetch and subtracts liabilities. It sets the floor: no rational seller accepts less than liquidation value. For a profitable business it usually understates worth badly, because it ignores the earning power that makes the assets worth owning together.
Discounted cash flow projects free cash for several years, adds a terminal value, and discounts everything back at a rate reflecting risk. It is the most theoretically sound and the most sensitive to assumptions: small changes to the growth rate or the discount rate swing the answer enormously, which is why buyers treat a seller's model with suspicion.
Three methods, three answers, one range (2026)
Business inputs Revenue $2,400,000 Reported net profit $180,000 Owner salary added back $140,000 One-off legal costs added back $28,000 Normalised earnings (SDE) $348,000 Equipment and inventory at market $410,000 Liabilities $165,000 Method 1: earnings multiple at 3.2x 348,000 x 3.2 $1,113,600 Method 2: asset-based 410,000 - 165,000 $245,000 Method 3: DCF, 3% growth, 18% discount approx. $980,000 Range: $245,000 floor, roughly $1.0m to $1.1m for the going concern. The gap between the floor and the range is the value of the business working.
The asset figure is not a competing answer; it is the walk-away price. The earnings and cash-flow methods bracket the negotiating range, and their closeness here is a sign the earnings are believable.
Buyers reprice risk, not potential. Customer concentration above roughly a quarter of revenue in one account, revenue that is project-based rather than recurring, a short remaining lease, key staff without contracts, and messy books all reduce the multiple. Cleaning up the last of those is the cheapest value gain available to most owners.
Records matter more than owners expect. The IRS requires businesses to keep records supporting the income and deductions reported on their returns, and a buyer's advisers will reconcile your normalised earnings against filed returns line by line. Adjustments you cannot document from the accounts will simply be removed from the valuation.
Comprehensive Guide
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How this guide was created
This guide was written and reviewed by FreeCalculators Editorial, drawing on published formulas, official government sources, and real calculator outputs from our 4 calculators in this category. Every claim is sourced; every formula is auditable. Read our review policy.